Watch on the West
A Newsletter of FPRIs Center for the Study of America
and the West
Blair, Britain, Europe and International
Relations?
Volume 3, Number 9
November 2002
by Jeremy Black
Jeremy Black, a Senior Fellow of the Foreign Policy Research
Institute, is Professor of History, University of Exeter,
UK. Recent books include Modern British History (Palgrave,
2000), The Politics of James Bond (Praeger, 2001), America
as a Military Power 1775-1882 (Praeger, 2002), and The
World in the Twentieth Century (Longman, 2002).
The present emergency arising from the 11 September attacks
has pushed international relations way up the agenda of
political attention but it still does not address the
problem of how best to assess policies. In the case of
Britain, the robust support that the Prime Minister Tony
Blair offered the Americans dominates foreign perception.
As a consequence, criticism of Blair is seen as in some
ways essentially opposition to a resolute approach towards
terrorism. In some quarters, this is indeed the case.
However, domestic criticism of Blair is also a multi-faceted
phenomenon of long duration that merits consideration
on its own terms.
Assessing current British (or for that matter Continental
European) debates on international relations simply in
light of the present emergency, important as that is,
often provides a narrow view that can miss the wider political
context. It is understandable that people look at the
bigger picture, but that picture can be seen from different
angles.
Much domestic criticism of Blair rests on unease about
his policies both external and domestic. In particular
there is a feeling that his desire to remold Britain risks
compromising long-established senses of identity. Blair
and his ministers do not appear to have a clear understanding
of what they mean by nation or state. The extent to which
the constitutional experimentation seen since Labour gained
power in 1997, which has so far led to the creation of
assemblies in Wales and Scotland, and which may lead to
regional assemblies within England, seems likely to lead
to a replacement of the United Kingdom by an unstable
coalition of polities and necessarily has implications
for foreign and defense policies.
These will need to be negotiated within the
British Isles: especially if competing political groupings
are in power in Belfast, Cardiff, Edinburgh and London.
For example, the Scottish and Welsh Nationalists are more
neutralist and critical of the USA than the other political
parties in Scotland and Wales, while Irish nationalism
has marked left- wing leanings and is closer to Fidel
Castro and Colombian terrorism than to mainstream international
politics.
The process of negotiation, never easy, will be even
less so because the pretensions and prerogatives of the
European Union extend far into what has until recently
been regarded as domestic policy. It is naive to assume
that it will be possible to keep this process politically
separate from that of the settlement of differences between
parts of the British Isles. The ambition of the European
Union has markedly extended with the adoption of the single
currency.
It is interesting to reflect on how British statesmen
in the past responded to such constitutional innovation.
In December 1798, George Canning, one of the most thoughtful
Conservative politicians of the age, referred in Parliament
to the new states then being created under the aegis of
the imperial power of the French Revolutionaries: the
Cisalpine republic selected as a living subject for her
[Frances] experiments in political anatomy; whom
she has delivered up tied and bound to a series of butchering,
bungling, philosophical professors to distort and mangle,
and lop, and stretch its limbs into all sorts of fantastical
shapes, and to hunt through its palpitating frame the
vital principle of republicanism [Parliamentary
History, vol. 34, column 55].
Aside from the British dimension to the question,
there is also the problem of optimism. A government that
came to power on the basis of welcoming change and rejecting
the past is necessarily one that is optimistic about the
prospect for improvement and a better future. This also
has a partisan aspect, with the specific denial of attitudes
and policies associated with both Conservatives and Old
Labour. Blairs effective presentation of himself
as New Labour helps in rejecting established
assumptions of national interest and policy, but an assessment
of positions in terms of New Labour confuses
what might at present be thus identified and the more
long-term plasticity of the concept.
There is a danger that Blairs own views will be
seen as co- terminous with, indeed the definition of,
New Labour, when, in practice, the rejection of what is
presented as Old Labour, including in foreign policy,
draws on a wider range of attitudes and developments.
The rejection of the past currently associated with New
Labour is assisted by the sense that the end of the Cold
War has created an opportunity and need for new assumptions.
Blair has encouraged a stronger EU foreign policy and
defense identity for the UK, and is keen to have Britain
adopt the single currency. However, it is by no means
clear that the EU is capable of fulfilling the hopes placed
upon it in this sphere. It has not only failed to meet
UK needs for an effectively managed free trading area,
but has also proved inadequate as a body through which
to advance wider interests elsewhere in Europe. For example,
Britain has found its freedom in international trade negotiations,
a key aspect of foreign relations, circumscribed, and
its interests slighted. The EU itself suffers from disunity,
a lack of military resources, and an ambitious extension
of interests and commitments.
This policy is shot through with an optimism and a universalism
that is troubling. The latter rests in large part on the
attempt to make human rights a central feature in policy,
at once replacing the moral imperative of resisting Soviet
imperialism, as well as explaining and justifying power
projection.
Europe is a region that bears little relationship to
long- established British national interests. Instead,
these are being reconfigured (or Europeanized) in a policy
that testifies to the governmental view that Europe is
the crucial international unit for Britain and also the
optimistic hope that it can be made to work. This Europeanization
reflects an old-fashioned emphasis on propinquity (nearness)
which dates from mid-twentieth century assessments of
security and economic relations. In practice, this view
is flawed, as propinquity means far less in terms of the
global economics and geopolitics of the present day. Furthermore,
the emphasis on Europe is a flawed assessment of the multiple
links of the UK. As I have shown in my History of the
British Isles (2nd edition, Palgrave, 2002), for centuries,
the UK has been closer to Boston, Kingston, or New York,
than to Bari, Cracow, or Zagreb, and this situation had
not changed. Indeed, cultural, economic and demographic
developments over the last half-century, ranging from
the impact of American television and inward investment
to New Commonwealth immigration, have accentuated these
links and indicated the limited usefulness of a definition
of Britain in terms of Europe.
The Blair governments assessment of British relations
with the EU rests on the tendency to argue that their
policy is the only one that can work. In practice, however,
interdependability with the EU did, and does, not dictate
the contours and consequences of the relationship and
there is no such inevitability. Choices on policy existed,
and exist, but that fact has long been denied by politicians
and polemicists keen to advocate a particular point of
view: the deterministic polemics of Euro-enthusiasm.
Blair the youthful Mr. Toad of British politics,
with his faddish enthusiasm for novelty and his determination
to ignore an ancestral heritage clearly feels that
he can square the circle, or rather circles. He intends
to reconcile traditional assumptions with new identities
and to keep different alignments and commitments
especially NATO and the EU, USA and the Continent
in concert and, indeed, mutually supportive.
The attempt is likely to end in failure. Certainly the
EU has not fulfilled boasts of providing an effective
international force. For example, Britain and France found
themselves bearing most of the European military burden
in the Balkans in the 1990s. Furthermore, the reduction
in military expenditure by other European states clearly
troubles the USA and suggests that future crises will
find Britain bearing a disproportionate share of the burden.
The history of Britains relations within the EU
in the 1990s and 2000s does not suggest that bearing a
heavy military burden will yield benefits in other fields.
This failure can ironically be seen as part of a post-1945
trend in which successive British governments have exaggerated
the likely benefit that would flow from high military
expenditure. In the case of New Labour, seeing the benefit
in European terms does not lessen the error.
The Blair governments support for greater European
integration and for a European identity for the UK has
lessened the UKs ability to retain practices and
politics of self-reliance, of national accountability,
and of reacting to developments on their merits and with
reference to the contingencies of the moment. This is
particularly troubling given the volatility of the current
international system. Blair falls squarely into the Whiggish
tradition of interventionism and the creation of systems
to solve problems and prevent their recurrence; as opposed
to the conservative tradition of prudence. Like the Whigs,
Blair is apt to underrate the pragmatic and prudential
approach to foreign commitments that stresses concrete
national interests rather than abstract principles and
systemic approaches as factors driving international politics.
In short, Blairs domestic and foreign policies
work to diminish British identity and sovereignty, especially
in regard to the EU. Simultaneously, however, he has taken
on for the UK since September 11 the role of being a special
interlocutor between the US and Europe. This is a role
the UK has played in the past, but not in the context
of other domestic and foreign policies that seek to merge
Britain into the EU. The balancing act the situation requires
could erode confidence that Blair knows where he is taking
the country.
The foregoing discussion may explain why there has been
no rallying round the leader equivalent to the situation
in the USA after 11 September. Indeed far from it. Circumstances
are naturally different Britains leading ally
was attacked, not Britain itself but more is at
stake than this. Foreign policy has exposed deep fissures
within the Labour party, with considerable opposition
towards Americas Middle Eastern policy, while the
Liberal Democrats have clung to their confidence in the
United Nations. The most pro-American party, the Conservative
party, is in opposition.
From the American perspective, the British are far firmer
allies than any of the other major European powers. Indeed,
American disenchantment with Germany, France, and 'Europe'
serves as an interesting comment on American policy over
the last two decades. Having been closest to Britain during
the Reagan years, the Americans under Bush senior moved
closer to Germany and, alongside the French, actively
backed German reunification despite Margaret Thatchers
doubts. Over a longer period, American governments have
supported the creation of the European Union seeing it
as an anchor of anti-Communism, and pushed Britain to
join, even though, in the event, the logic of an EU foreign
and military policy has risked compromising NATO and creating
a critic of American policies. Looking to the future,
the mutual lack of comprehension about American and continental
European attitudes and assumptions the present crisis
has revealed raises serious issues of political management
on both sides of the Atlantic. Understanding the parameters
within which allies can be expected to operate demands
knowledge, deftness and expertise, and this point underlines
how delicate the china may be in the transatlantic shop.
Whatever the outcome of the present emergency, Blairs
sense that he could square circles has begun to wear thin,
and this, in turn, makes the Prime Ministers roles
as the primary intermediary between the USA and EU more
problematical. While the UK will probably remain closely
tied with the USA and EU, it will have difficulties influencing
policy in either and will consequently fail as interlocutor.
Pleasing as it is for a Briton to see his country as a
bridge between America and Europe, both sides would be
wiser to avoid relying totally on a span with questionable
political moorings.
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